MORE ON ACFXblog.comACFX DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT – LONDON OPEN 15.01.2015EURUSDThe intraday technical outlookYesterday EURUSD traded higher as the Dollar weakened due to a disappointing Retail Sales number.
The resulting move higher broke above the high of the current down channel.
Although EURUSD did trade above the high of its intraday swing pivot which technically changes the trend from down the move higher does look a little anemic.
Especially if one was to compare the strength in the other currency pairs and especially AUDUSD and Oil.
This maybe because of the the legal go ahead given by the European Court of Justice to the ECB with respect to Bond purchases, traders will still have an eye on shorting rallies in EURUSD.
As confirmation that this move higher will continue I would like to see a rejection of a move lower to the 1.1725 level which is yesterdays low and the possible formation of a double bottom / higher low.
From this base we will need to see 1.1845 taken out as this level is yesterday’s high and the last 1 hour isolated high pivot.
EURUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.1725 level.
Current resistance can be found at 1.1810 and 1.1845.
Alternatively support comes in at 1.1755 and 1.1725.
GBPUSDThe intraday technical outlookYesterday GBPUSD traded higher as the price action moved above the 1.5195 level.
The breach and close above this level has technically changed the trend from down to up.
The move higher was finally held at the 1.5245 level.
This coincides with the bottom of a recently broken multiple year trend line.
From a longer term perspective if the this months candle can close above this trend line then we have a powerful case for a continuation of higher prices.
I will discuss this further in a longer term GBPUSD analysis.
GBPUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1.5075 level.
Current resistance comes in at 1.5245 and 1.5340.
Alternative support can be found at 1.5195 and 1.5100 levels.
USDJPYThe intraday technical outlookLast night the Cabinet Office released the latest month on month Core Machinery Orders number.
The latest release missed the forecast by reporting 4.8% whereas the actual came in at 1.3%.
This news helped propel USDJPY higher as this currency pair put in a V bottom formation.
With USDJPY this morning testing the 117.75 level I am monitoring the price action for a possible test of the down channel top.
USDJPY is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 118.85 level
Current support is at 117.00 and 116.10.
Alternatively resistance levels are at 117.75 and 118.25.
USDCHFThe intraday technical outlookYesterday USDCHF experienced a volatile session as it tested the 1.0235 level before falling back in the afternoon following the release of US data.
The move lower did breach and close under the 1.0165 level being the last isolated low.
The breach of this level technically changes the trend from up to down.
The recent price action has resulted in a rising wedge forming,
With the USDCHF now trading within a rather congested and choppy range it would probably best to trade this range.
Longer term directional traders can potentially taken if the range is broken.
USDCHF is trading in an intraday 1 hour downtrend with the line of control at the 1.0235 level.
Current support is at 1.0125 and 1.0100 levels.
Alternatively resistance is at the 1.0215 and 1.0250 levels.
AUDUSDThe intraday technical outlookOvernight the Australian Bureau of Statistics published its latest Employment Change number.
The number was a big surprise as the actual of 37.4K being a big beat on the forecast of 5.3K.
This news did much to propel AUDUSD higher as the price action broke the 0.8200 resistance level.
The breach of the 0.8200 level means that the price action has broken above the last isolated high and this has resulted in the trend technically changing from down to up.
AUDUSD is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 0.8070 level.
Current resistance can be found at 0.8255 and 0.8350.
Alternatively support is at the 0.8200 and 0.8160.
GOLDThe intraday technical outlookGold yesterday attempted to test but ultimately failed to breach the 1244.00 resistance level.
It would now appear that there is a possibility that trading range will form between the 1225.00 and 1244.00 levels.
Gold is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 1225.00 level.
Current resistance comes in at 1240.00 and 1244.00.
Alternatively support comes in at 1225.00 and 1221.00.
OILThe intraday technical outlookYesterday’s Crude Oil Inventories report stated the reserves had expanded to 5.4M.
This number beat the forecast of 1.2M by a wide margin.
Although inventories expanded Oil shrugged off the news as it traded higher.
The move higher broke above the current large down channel and the last isolated high at the 46.80 level.
The breach of the 46.80 level technically changes the 1 hour trend from down to up.
Oil is trading in an intraday 1 hour uptrend with the line of control at the 45.00 level.
Current resistance comes in at 49.50 and 50.35.
Alternatively support comes in at 47.00 and 45.00.